Short and Medium Term Blood Glucose Prediction Using Multi-objective Grammatical Evolution

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the benefits of applying a multi-objective approach for solving a symbolic regression problem by means of grammatical evolution. In particular, we continue with previous research about finding expressions to model the glucose levels in blood of diabetic patients. We use here a multi-objective Grammatical Evolution approach based on NSGA-II algorithm, considering the root mean squared error and an ad-hoc fitness function as objectives. This ad-hoc function is based on the Clarke Error Grid analysis, which is useful for showing the potential danger of mispredictions. Experimental results show that the multi-objective approach improves previous results in terms of Clarke Error Grid analysis reducing the number of dangerous mispredictions.

Publication
International Conference on the Applications of Evolutionary Computation (Part of EvoStar)
J. Manuel Colmenar
J. Manuel Colmenar
Associate Professor

My research interests are focused on metaheuristics applied to optimization problems. I have worked on different combinatorial optimization problems applying trajectorial algorithms such us GRASP or VNS. Besides, I am very interested in applications of Grammatical Evolution, specifically in model and prediction domain, as alternative to machine learning approaches.